Archive: 09/04/2007

Main News

 

Don't Blame The Rating Agencies
The fallout over subprime mortgages has provoked a rush to judgment, and some are now blaming the credit rating agencies for the recent market turbulence. These charges reflect both a misunderstanding of the work carried out by rating agencies, and a misrepresentation of the overall credit performance of securities backed by residential mortgages. The fundamental service provided by a rating agency such as Standard &Poor's is to issue an independent opinion on the creditworthiness of securities, which speaks to the likelihood that investors will receive payments of interest and principal on time.
https://www.ratingsdirect.com/Apps/RD/controller/Article?id=599157&SctArtId=7426&from=CM&nsl_code=CMT

 

Structured Investment Vehicles: Under Stormy Skies, An Updated Look At The Weather
On Aug. 15, 2007, Standard & Poor's updated the market about the current rating status of the structured investment vehicles (SIVs) that we rate; we also explained how specific aspects of SIVs operate. At this time, we are augmenting that comment, in light of our Aug. 28 rating action on Cheyne Finance (A-/Watch Neg/A-2).
To learn more, click or copy and paste the URL below:
(subscription required)
http://standardandpoors.rsys1.net/servlet/cc5?kHiQWTBAQUVsLgHxhilpuHQJhuV2VA

 

StockHouse.com : Hurricane `Cat' Bonds Shelter Investors From ...

Hurricane 'Cat' Bonds Shelter Investors From Subprime Storm By Zachary R. Mider Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Investors looking for safety from declines in the ...
www.stockhouse.com/mediascan/news.asp?newsid=9079779 - 15 hours ago -
Similar pages - Note this

 

The continuing crisis in US subprime mortgages could be worse for the market than the 1998 Russian default, according to rating agency Standard & Poor's. Credit analyst Nick Hill wrote that a "harsh but plausible stress test" predicted 47% drops in investment banking and trading revenues for the largest banks. "This is more severe than in 1998, reflecting in particular potential mark-downs on leveraged finance exposures and structured credit," he wrote. The losses would be "testing but manageable" on the whole, but some firms could suffer significantly, and could be downgraded if their risk management was judged inadequate. Hill added that the firm considered an extended downturn unlikely.
Subprime crisis "worse than 1998", says S&P

 

BARCLAYS BLAMES TECHNICAL GLITCH FOR £1.6 BILLION EMERGENCY LOAN
UK bank Barclays says it was forced to borrow £1.6bn from the Bank of England after a technical problem with its link to the Crest settlement system left it unable to borrow in the inter-bank market to cover a short position in its accounts.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=17384

 

Two new studies reveal secret sauce used by activist hedge funds. 28 August 2007. Two all-beef patties, special sauce, lettuce, cheese, pickles, onions ...
allaboutalpha.com/blog/2007/08/28/two-new-studies-reveal-secret-sauce-used-by-activist-hedge-funds/ - 35k -
Cached - Similar pages - Note this

 

Risk of redemptions loom over 2000 hedge funds

As many as 2000 hedge funds could be vulnerable to redemptions as investors rush to recover their assets, increasing the number of companies seeking ...
www.efinancialnews.com/homepage/content/2348647850 - 15 hours ago -
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Industry Risk - Hedge Funds Are the Biggest Game in Town

Hedge funds generated nearly 30 percent of U.S. fixed-income trading volume last year among participants in the market’s most extensive study, double the 15 percent they accounted for in the prior 12-month period.

Full Story...

 

Credit crunch seen easing but funds continue to stumble
The first signs that the fall-out from the collapse of the US sub-prime mortgage sector may be easing came this week, with BNP Paribas reopening three funds after resolving asset valuation issues and the hard-pressed Carlyle Capital fund hoping to restore its dividend in the fourth quarter.

 

UBS launches 130/30 strategy fund aimed at private investors
UBS has launched a new fund based on an investment concept incorporating a 130/30 strategy, the UBS (Lux) Key Selection Sicav - US Equities 130/30 B, with the aiming of extending the availability of 130/30 strategies from institutional to private investors.

 

 

 

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Yield Curve Corner

 

 

Bernanke: Help, Yes; Bailout, No http://www.portfolio.com/images/site/gfx/spacer.gif
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the Fed is willing and eager to inject liquidity into markets to keep the economy on track, but made clear it will not bail out homeowners and others who made unwise investments.
Read More

 

Bernanke under pressure to tip his hand
MarketWatch - USA
Those are the perils Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke faces during this weekend's Fed retreat in the Grand Tetons: He could find himself in hot water ...
See all stories on this topic

 

 

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Natural Disaster Corner

 

 

http://www.noaa.gov/

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/Data/index.html

http://tsunami.gov/

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/

Climate Prediction  http://www.nws.noaa.gov/predictions.php

World Meterological Organization http://severe.worldweather.org/

Tornadoes: http://www.disastercenter.com/tornado.htm

Great Sat Pictures of events: http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Current/TRCfitow243_GJ.jpg

 

Weather Risk – US Weather Commentary

While much attention has been given to ENSO status over the past 10 Years, it must be reminded that weekly SSTA fluctuations are mere “climate noise”, and it is rather the multi-month running mean of key ENSO monitoring regions which is of oceanographic and meteorological significance.

Full Story...

 

 

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Iranian Situation

 

Iran may hire others to finish Russian nuclear plant: report
AFP via Yahoo! News Fri, 31 Aug 2007 9:00 AM PDT
Iran is considering alternative builders to finish its first nuclear power plant amid disputes with Russia, which now heads the project, a Russian daily quoted an Iranian official as saying Friday.

 

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Opalesque’s Corner

 

- Bear Stearns judge rejects ban on hedge fund suits, says  Cayman Islands not the proper jurisdiction, Ruling sets precedent for how failed Cayman hedge funds will be liquidated,  Bear Stearns hedge funds given 30 days to refile bankruptcy petition, then must face investors
- Basis says no trouble with 2nd fund (Pac-Rim Opportunity Fund )
- Law firm`s `hedge fund recovery team` says risk of redemptions loom over 2,000 hedge funds, How investors can prepare for `what`s coming`
- Moody`s: Major U.S. investment banks have sufficient liquidity to fund their commitments, Standard & Poor`s President Corbet leaves amid subprime fallout
- Investment banks set to cut 10-15% of staff, Subprime crisis set to burst City bankers` bonus bubble, BNP: Don`t blame us for financial crisis, it was just bad timing
- Moody`s president sees unprecedented illiquidity, defends Cheyne
- Listed vehicles suffer in the turmoil,  Asia hedge funds` simplicity may be saving grace,  South African hedge funds weather subprime storm, down just 0.5% in August, up 21% YoY
- Barclays says Cahill departure `orderly and not forced`, met with Cahill for transition
- Absolute Capital Management`s co-founder Ewing departs,  Watson Wyatt adds hedge fund consultant,  Bridge Advisors taps Robert C. Bernard to head alternative investment consulting business
- Finnish fund edges towards alternatives limit,  Pensions still favour `return-seeking` assets
- Wilshire: Most 130/30 managers produce additional residual return on short side
- Swiss Re says investors more interested in Cat bonds now
- Flood of new property hedge funds exploit weakened market
- Update: Commodity prices continue to skyrocket - how to benefit from irreversible trend
- Sparx to launch three mutual funds targeted at U.S. investors
- Colorado invites to hedge fund roundtable on  Industry Best Practices on Presenting Your Performance
- Sentinel gets court OK to pay payroll, other expenses, but not to founders, SEC settles with Connecticut hedge fund manager Scott Sacane in securities fraud schemes, All charges dismissed in Quattrone case,  former Credit Suisse star banker free to return to Wall Street
- Opalesque Exclusive: Fortis says hurricane did not affect operations, hurricane response program stood up exceptionally well
- India private equity not scared of global credit crunch, Blackstone with `huge` deal pipeline
- Taiwan relaxes short-selling restrictions,  allows shorting of Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 stocks
- Activist News: Taiwan Cosmos Bank to sell stake to SAC Capital,  SAC Capital, GE to invest US$900m in Cosmos Bank,  Cosmos was under threat of Taiwan state control
- News Briefs: Reuters to donate all proceeds from 2007 Golf Day to SF Hedge Funds Care, Dexia Asset Management and Investor Services revenues nicely up
- ...And finally: Cars smash up man's home for 10th time
- Logon:
http://www.opalesque.com/main.php?act=archive

 

 

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Misc. Items of Interest

 

 

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Funnies, Facts, Quotes, etc….

 

egregious ih-GREE-juhs, adjective:

Conspicuously and outrageously bad or reprehensible.

1991:  Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan declared independence from the Soviet Union.

1980:  Polish labour activist Lech Walesa and Mieczyslaw Jagielski, Poland's first deputy premier, signed an agreement that conceded to workers the right to organize freely and independently.

1966:  The Harrier “jump-jet” fighter-bomber made its first flight.

1895:  The first American professional gridiron football game was played in the township of Latrobe, Pennsylvania.

1850:  King Kamehameha III officially declared Honolulu a city and the capital of his kingdom.

1751:  Robert Clive of Britain seized Arcot, India, and then withstood a 53-day siege that began a few weeks later.

 

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Conference, Courses, Books, Papers

 

Great Research Sites:

http://www.highbeam.com/

http://www.dealbreaker.com/

http://seekingalpha.com/

www.riskmterics.com

http://www.allaboutalpha.com/blog/

 

Merrill Lynch research Link to full report including important disclosures see example

http://rsch1.ml.com/9093/24013/ds/78763025.PDF

 

John Mauldin’s Weekly Analysis

www.frontlinethoughts.com

 

James Altucher’s Website:

www.stockpickr.com

 

Other useful sites:

www.flyonthewall.com

www.gloriamundi.com

 

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Index Corner

 

The CSFB/Tremont Hedge Fund Index www.hedgeindex.com.

The Cogent Dynamic Averages http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asphttp://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp

The Dow Jones Indices: http://www.djhedgefundindexes.com/index.cfm?event=viewPremiumContent (free registration)

HFRX Indices https://www.hedgefundresearch.com/hfrx_reg/index.php?fuse=login&1170880431

http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp

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Regulatory Info

 

Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)

Division of Enforcement: +1 866-FON-CFTC

http://www.cftc.gov/enf/enfform.htm

http://www.cftc.gov/enf/enfform.htm

Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)

e-mail: enforcement@sec.gov

http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml

http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml

Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF)

Ombudsman's office: +33 (0)1 5345-6464

French: http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=fr&Id_Tab=0

English: http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=en&Id_Tab=0

http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=en&Id_Tab=0

Financial Services Authority (FSA)

http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html

http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html

Financial Ombudsman Service: 0845 080 1800, outside the UK: +44 (0)20 7964 1000

complaint.info@financial-ombudsman.org.uk

http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html

Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC)

http://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.html

Investor Hotline: 852-2840-9333

investor.info@sfc.hkhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.htmlhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.htmlhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.html

 

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Disclaimer

 

The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell any security or other type of vehicles to or by anyone in any jurisdictions, nor should it be regarded as a contractual document. Under no circumstances should the information provided on this document be considered as financial advice, or as a sufficient basis on which to make investment decisions. The information contained herein has been gathered by Investor DNA, LLC from sources deemed reliable as of the date of publication, but no warranty of accuracy or completeness is given. Investor DNA, LLC is not responsible for and provides no guarantee with respect to any of the information provided herein or through the use of any hypertext link. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information in this newsletter is for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment, legal, tax or accounting advice. All materials are the property of the respective publishers, as referenced by header and appropriate hypertext links.

 



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